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Abstract：Scheduled event risk is starting to give way to sentiment and systemic fundamental concerns a prospect that threatens volatility at a time of year when quiet is supposed to prevail. Trade wars are finding guidance from headlines that President Trump regularly tops, while recession fears are tied more closely to
Scheduled event risk is starting to give way to sentiment and systemic fundamental concerns – a prospect that threatens volatility at a time of year when quiet is supposed to prevail.
Australian Dollar Bears Rule But May Not Turn Up Heat This Week
The Australian Dollar remains close to notable lows against its US counterpart and the market is still betting on aggressive rate cuts from the RBA
Sliding Crude Oil Can't Look to Jackson Hole For Price Support
Crude oil prices continue to drop as the economic data keep huge question marks glowering over likely demand levels.
US Dollar May Rise if Fed Minutes and Jackson Hole Spook Markets
The US Dollar may rise if the Fed meeting minutes and commentary at the Jackson Hole symposium spooks markets and boost demand for liquidity.
Sterling Price Weekly Forecast: Brexit Newsflow and Political Manoeuvres
Next weeks UK data vacuum will be filled by the latest political shenanigans with rumor and counter-rumor focusing on who is up to what, with who and why.
S&P 500, DAX Fundamental Forecast
The ominous sign stemming from the inversion of the US 2s10s provides yet another reminder that the global economic outlook is weakening.
Euro May Fall as ECB Easing Looms, Italy Flirts with Early Elections
The Euro may fall as dovish ECB meeting minutes and soft PMI data set the stage for easing in September while Italy flirts with early elections.
Chart Legend
Black = Oil (CL Futures)
Yellow = Gold (XAUUSD)
Green = USD (DXY Index)
Disclaimer:
The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
The British Pound (GBP) faces headwinds as new data reveals a sharp contraction in consumer spending, raising fears that fiscal drag is choking the UK's economic engine.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains steady near 98.00, supported by a mix of technical recovery and external currency weakness. While markets await definitive signals on the Fed's 2026 cutting cycle, technical breakdowns in major peers are driving price action.
The divergence between Federal Reserve guidance and market pricing is widening as traders position for 2026, setting the stage for significant volatility in the US Dollar. While the Fed’s latest dot plot conservatively suggests a single 25-basis-point rate cut in 2026, major financial institutions—including Goldman Sachs and Citi—are pricing in a more aggressive easing cycle of 50 to 75 basis points.
Global precious metals markets are witnessing a historic dislocation as 2025 draws to a close. Spot gold has breached the psychologically significant $4,500/oz mark, while silver has surged past $70, driven by a potent combination of geopolitical escalation, aggressive Fed easing expectations, and a critical physical shortage in London vaults.
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